NFL MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey And Even Drew Lock In Consideration

Written By Taylor Osieczanek on 02/25/2020 - Last Updated on April 24, 2020
Drew Lock

The NFL offseason is picking up steam with the scouting Combine this week in Indianapolis and the Draft just two months away, making now a great time to check the market for MVP futures.

It should come as no surprise that the favorite across the board is Kansas City Chiefs quarterback and recently crowned Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes. The longest odds on Mahomes can be found at where he’s +500 to take home his second MVP award in three seasons.

Mahomes won the regular-season MVP award after a 2018 season that saw him throw for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns. That season was, notably, his second year in the league and his first season as a starter. It’s exactly the same situation Denver Broncos QB Drew Lock is expected to be in this year.


Drew Lock MVP outlook

Lock, who went 4-1 in his five games as a starter at the end of last season, still faces long odds when it comes to winning the MVP according to the sportsbooks. 888Sport (+12600) and DraftKings (+12500) have the longest odds on Denver’s quarterback, while FunDuel (+10000) has the best.

If it seems like there’s no chance Lock follows in Mahomes’ footsteps, consider the 2019 MVP: Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson. The dual-threat quarterback won the award in his second year, but first full season as the starter as well.

Can Lock keep the run going? During his five starts Lock threw for 1,020 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Projected over the course of a 16-game season that would be 3,264 yards, 22 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Given a year under his belt, a full training camp as the starter and new offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur now at the helm, there’s reason to be optimistic Lock’s numbers would be better than those projections in 2020.


Other Broncos MVP choices

What other Broncos are the sportsbooks taking wagers on? FanDuel has running back Phillip Lindsay at +20000 and receiver Courtland Sutton at +30000. Fair warning though, a wide receiver has yet to be named NFL MVP and Adrian Peterson is the last running back to win (2012).

Futures MVP favorites after Mahomes

Speaking of running backs, the odds-on favorites are free agent Derrick Henry and Carolina’s Christian McCaffrey. The longest odds on McCaffrey (+5000), who is originally from Colorado, and Henry (+4400) both can be found at FanDuel. Most other sportsbooks have the pair around +3300.

The other quarterbacks with the best odds are the reigning MVP Jackson and Seattle’s Russell Wilson. 888Sport has the longest odds for both signal callers. They have Wilson at +650, while Jackson checks in at +700. As for the QB on the losing side of Super Bowl LIV, San Francisco’s Jimmy Garoppolo’s longest odds can be found at 888Sport which lists him at +3400.

Two-time Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald (+6600) has the longest odds among defenders at DraftKings, while Michael Thomas (+10000) tops the wide receiver list. And let’s not forget about three-time MVP Tom Brady. We still don’t know where he’s going to play next season, but his longest odds can be found at 888Sport which lists him at +3400.

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